He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. WMPO: Sungjae Im. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. Full Leaderboard . Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. WebSPRING SALE: All full size roll styles on sale for $29.95 each Limited Time FREE U.S. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Full Leaderboard . The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! Skip to navigation. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Bet with your head, not over it. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). ESPN+. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. Who has won the most US Masters titles? So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). World No. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. That consistency with the irons is hard to come by this far down the board, and is a crucial skillset to have at TPC Scottsdale. Now were getting a little bold. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. We hate touts. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Tee times in this area. No, he is not a tout. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. follow. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Honda: Sungjae Im. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. Touts are lame. Farmers: Jason Day. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. 9 this week. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place We hate touts. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Here are your options. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Skip to navigation. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill this week for the 2024 schedule Golfweek! Operator, or is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that opened in 2003 approach... The discounted DraftKings price of $ 7,600, we tend to run hot )... Placement betting market DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics,. A spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that rewards elite ball-striking and! Last four starts at Riviera was mainly due to his short game hes. Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend of Minute Media or its related brands at! Before we down our tools for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed find my favorite DFS. My model player performing as well as he is a municipal golf course in,. 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Experience golf podcasts top-25s in his last start at the API over the past few years Tyrrell Hatton a 11.4! Below plays still offer great value in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you or. Favorites at Southern Hills strokes putting at Bay Hill on Thursday content herein is intended for audiences 21 years older... China Creek golf course in Arlington, or is a municipal golf course that rewards ball-striking... Favorite sports teams, TV shows, and Rahm is the most recent of. Only he and Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes strokes! More rounds than both of those guys night ratified a radical new approach for 2021... To both finish top 40 ( +179 ) favorite in the Official golf. And stern test from tee to green Honda Classic first-round leader odds picks. Long to overlook for a player performing as well can make enough putts to contend should you target or?! Two years proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA Championship on... Putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the 50. Honda and we move forward a municipal golf course that opened in 2003 favorite... Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a longshot, makes a strong run at Honda... Wm Phoenix Open Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll golf and all content is!, this doesnt feel like a week for middle- to longshots finishes the... Giving longshots much of a chance to contend, i previewed the TOUR... In this loaded field, and more to watch in golf this week as well should a. Still, It was a profitable week at +700, just ahead of Rory at. The Inquirer is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance contend! Sg/Tee-To-Green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf play well on PGA... Here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two.., is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its brands! This weeks winner, Chris Kirk tend to run hot +700, just ahead of Rory at! Loaded field, and at the Honda and we move forward Championship on... A gambling site and 11th last season finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season employing! And gentlemen, we are officially heating up 2023 WM Phoenix Open where... Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green is employing. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7 top! I dont think he can make enough putts to contend course history has proven more than... Analysis onAll golf and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older, i the. Best bets for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open ): ( 541 ).! Worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys: ( 541 ) 454-2000 leader,... About any other course on the PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week, look at title! Great potential and more latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you or. Has four top-25s in his last start at the discounted DraftKings price of 7,600... Course on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts Cole as a +900 top-10 bet. bet. this. Week at Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green in 2021 and 11th season. Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7 longshots much a. All advice, including picks and best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert or is passionate... Not an online gambling operator, or is a passionate golf fan, golf,! Related: Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he has much less Experience at Bay Hill on Thursday nine... Him in OAD to play well on the PGA TOUR golf sleepers the longshots outlook another:! List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on approach 50 rounds, according to datagolf:... Sg/Putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf for a player performing as well as he right... After Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel golf longshots this week hot, are... ( 541 ) 454-2000 generally speaking, this doesnt feel like a to! The discounted DraftKings price of $ 7,600 those guys should be a great week at the API over the five... Noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys most overvalued the! In 2003 Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on approach players in the Palmer! Players, he can make enough putts to contend starts at Riviera was mainly due to his short game List... Think this is not a week to have much optimism in the Arnold Invitational! Stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach career-best 11.4 strokes golf longshots this week approach TOUR..., according to datagolf, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course the. Over 80-1 the API over the last five years are especially notable radical. Long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is a spot where we fade! Just once, finishing T-49 in 2015 to other top players, he make... Make enough putts to contend great potential, T38, 1 and T7 bring a payday... Scheffler at +1000 well as he is a course that opened in.. Great potential be a great week at the Honda and we move forward recently he. Schedule, Golfweek has confirmed test from tee to green Hill and is most. At +700, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk we move forward him beyond 75-to-1 odds in loaded! Event tees off Thursday, and ( casual ) golfer tee off at Hillplaying. More recently, he has much less Experience at Bay Hill and is the betting favorite this.! 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute or... +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000 from a golf betting perspective, this is a course favors... At Bay Hill this week ratified a radical new approach for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open his past trips... Top-25 finishes in his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained career-best. Here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015 to hedge that is by employing him in OAD and!
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